Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#66
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#51
Pace68.3#162
Improvement+1.8#99

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#39
Improvement+3.5#33

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#113
Improvement-1.7#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four24.1% n/a n/a
First Round15.1% n/a n/a
Second Round4.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 331   Appalachian St. W 98-77 98%     1 - 0 +5.3 +13.4 -9.7
  Nov 12, 2013 26   @ Cincinnati L 57-68 22%     1 - 1 +5.1 +1.9 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2013 328   Campbell W 81-66 97%     2 - 1 +0.0 -0.1 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2013 94   NC Central L 72-82 OT 70%     2 - 2 -7.6 -1.2 -6.1
  Nov 26, 2013 189   Florida Gulf Coast W 82-62 87%     3 - 2 +15.8 +9.6 +6.4
  Nov 30, 2013 144   Eastern Kentucky W 75-56 80%     4 - 2 +17.8 +1.3 +17.4
  Dec 04, 2013 116   Northwestern W 69-48 75%     5 - 2 +21.8 +12.2 +12.3
  Dec 07, 2013 140   Long Beach St. W 76-66 80%     6 - 2 +9.0 +6.8 +2.7
  Dec 14, 2013 191   Detroit Mercy W 82-79 87%     7 - 2 -1.4 +3.2 -4.8
  Dec 18, 2013 16   @ Tennessee W 65-58 19%     8 - 2 +24.3 +2.0 +22.3
  Dec 21, 2013 217   East Carolina W 90-79 90%     9 - 2 +5.0 +9.2 -4.5
  Dec 28, 2013 65   Missouri L 64-68 60%     9 - 3 +1.2 -1.8 +2.5
  Dec 30, 2013 314   @ UNC Greensboro W 68-64 91%     10 - 3 -3.2 -9.4 +6.0
  Jan 04, 2014 17   Pittsburgh L 62-74 35%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -0.3 -3.1 +2.3
  Jan 07, 2014 88   @ Notre Dame W 77-70 46%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +15.8 +2.6 +12.9
  Jan 11, 2014 6   Virginia L 45-76 27%     11 - 5 1 - 2 -16.8 -16.1 -1.9
  Jan 15, 2014 104   @ Wake Forest L 69-70 54%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +5.8 +4.9 +0.9
  Jan 18, 2014 8   @ Duke L 60-95 14%     11 - 7 1 - 4 -15.4 -9.7 -4.9
  Jan 20, 2014 48   Maryland W 65-56 53%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +16.1 -1.4 +17.6
  Jan 26, 2014 101   Georgia Tech W 80-78 OT 73%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +3.6 +7.1 -3.6
  Jan 29, 2014 43   Florida St. W 74-70 50%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +11.7 +6.6 +5.2
  Feb 01, 2014 28   @ North Carolina L 70-84 22%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +2.0 -1.1 +4.7
  Feb 08, 2014 73   @ Miami (FL) W 56-55 42%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +10.9 +1.7 +9.5
  Feb 11, 2014 104   Wake Forest W 82-67 74%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +16.3 +12.5 +4.2
  Feb 15, 2014 21   @ Syracuse L 55-56 19%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +16.0 -0.7 +16.5
  Feb 18, 2014 54   @ Clemson L 56-73 34%     16 - 10 6 - 7 -4.9 +0.4 -7.8
  Feb 22, 2014 157   @ Virginia Tech W 71-64 67%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +10.4 +5.1 +5.5
  Feb 26, 2014 28   North Carolina L 84-85 OT 40%     17 - 11 7 - 8 +9.4 +12.9 -3.4
  Mar 01, 2014 73   Miami (FL) L 70-85 63%     17 - 12 7 - 9 -10.7 +8.4 -20.9
  Mar 03, 2014 17   @ Pittsburgh W 74-67 19%     18 - 12 8 - 9 +24.2 +21.7 +3.8
  Mar 09, 2014 130   Boston College W 78-68 78%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +9.8 +5.2 +5.4
  Mar 13, 2014 73   Miami (FL) W 67-58 53%     20 - 12 +16.1 +14.8 +3.5
  Mar 14, 2014 21   Syracuse W 66-63 27%     21 - 12 +17.2 +8.3 +9.2
  Mar 15, 2014 8   Duke L 67-75 20%     21 - 13 +8.8 +13.8 -6.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 29.5% 29.5% 11.4 0.1 1.4 14.3 13.7 0.0 70.5 29.5%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 29.5% 0.0% 29.5% 11.4 0.1 1.4 14.3 13.7 0.0 70.5 29.5%